The New Situation in the Eastern Mediterranean and Greece
By Constantinos Kyprios*
It is now evident that the situation in the Middle East is changing, and as a result, the geopolitical map of the region is expected to be fundamentally reshaped. For Greece, this means that, based on the alliances formed in recent years, a significant opportunity is emerging as to strengthen its position in the Eastern Mediterranean, in cooperation with Israel, Egypt, and the United States of America.
This is a region that, in the past, was not a primary priority for Greece, allowing Turkey to expand its presence. Turkey has managed to establish a strong foothold in the Eastern Mediterranean and exert pressure even on Cyprus. Through the establishment of naval and air bases, it has created the conditions to emerge as a dominant power in the region. However, counterbalances to Turkish influence include countries such as Israel and Egypt, with which Turkey maintains a competitive relationship.
As the weakening of the previous order—represented by the axis of Iran—becomes increasingly apparent, new opportunities arise for Greece to strengthen its position through partnerships. Developments in Syria, particularly the weakening of the Assad government, have created conditions that favor increased Turkish involvement in the region, while also opening the possibility for the creation of an independent Kurdish state. Furthermore, a potential change in Iran’s regime could bring even more profound geopolitical shifts, significantly reshaping the regional landscape.
Within this context, Greece must pay closer attention to its interests in the Levant, namely Syria and Lebanon. These countries have historically hosted significant Christian communities, including Greek elements, while also being areas of interest for countries such as Saudi Arabia and Israel. Greece should seize the opportunity to expand its influence, while at the same time avoiding direct confrontation with rival powers and instead seeking cooperation where possible.
The potential formation of a cooperative framework between Cyprus, Lebanon, and parts or the entirety of Syria could serve as an important foundation for countering Turkish influence in the Eastern Mediterranean, as well as strengthening Cyprus’s position. Through such initiatives, Greece will be better positioned to support its interests and safeguard its sovereign rights in the region.
*Constantinos Kyprios
Strategic Analyst
